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WARRANT REPORT ARCHIVES

 

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The Warrant Report
February 28, 2011

 

Gold - Caught Between the Moon and New York City

 

 

In this issue:

  • Caught Between the Moon and New York City

  • Investment Ideas
     

Caught Between the Moon and New York City

Some of you may remember the hit song many years ago by Christopher Cross. This was  "Arthur's Theme (Best That We Can Do)" with co-writer, Burt Bacharach. As I recall the story Chris was flying into New York and the plane was held up for a long time in a circling pattern over New York. Looking out the window he could see the lights of New York and as well a full moon. Thus the captive line, You Could Get Caught Between the Moon and New York City.

I feel gold is very much in a similar situation with the price being caught between the previous high of around $1422 and the most recent low of $1310. While the geopolitical events have driven the price back up close to the highs, gold can not quite make it there, at least as we write this over the weekend.

Silver on the other hand blasted to new highs on Monday Feb 21st to 34.34 and has remained under that price, so far. Silver is outperforming gold for now but we still see the possibility of a significant retracement in both gold and silver before we once again blast off to new highs.

A couple of charts will serve to paint the picture for you.

The first chart of gold over the last 6 months and then the XAU.






We find it interesting that gold has not made a new high with all of the geo-political events taking place and you can see from the above chart of the XAU, Gold and Silver Index, that the shares did not even come close to new highs.

It just looks like we need more time and more downside action to set up the next great buying opportunity.

The “caution flag” is still waving but from an adventurous perspective amidst political climates and global demands. Pay attention, be vigilant, we will continue to keep our pulse on the situation and invest responsibly, professionally, and adventurously. 

Let’s give these markets more time before committing significant new capital.

Investment Ideas

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Dudley Pierce Baker – Owner/Editor – Guadalajara/Ajijic, Mexico
Bruce Ross – Webmaster and Administrative Assistant – Phoenix, USA

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