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The Warrant Report
July 6, 2009

 

 

In this issue

  • Commodity Related Warrants Outperform Gold 14:1

  • Our Learning Center - Don't Forget It

  • Insiders Buying My Favorite Silver Company

Commodity Related Warrants Now Outperforming Gold 14:1

 

Sounds incredible, doesn't it? This week Lorimer Wilson, our Director of Marketing and Contributing Editor will have an article out which should get investors attention. Our readers here at The Warrant Report are the first to see this detail. Lorimer loves to crunch the numbers so pay close attention.

 

Commodity-Related Warrants
Now Outperforming Gold 14:1 YTD

 

 

Last Week's Performance*

 

 

vs. Prev. Week

vs. Prev. Month

YTD**

Warrants (+24mo.)

-2.8

-13.1

71.5

 

 

 

 

Stocks with Warrants

-1.8

-9.1

40.9

 

 

 

 

CDNX***

-2.1

-8.6

44.4

 

 

 

 

HUI****

-2.9

-6.8

13.3

 

 

 

 

GDM*****

-2.3

-7.3

13.1

 

 

 

 

SPTGD******

-1.8

-6.1

7.4

 

 

 

 

TSX

-1.4

-7.5

20.5

 

 

 

 

S&P 500

-2.4

-4.6

-0.8

 

 

 

 

Silver

-4.9

-12.3

18.5

 

 

 

 

Gold

-1.1

-2.6

5.1

 

 

 

 

* All calculations are based on U.S. dollar equivalents

** Week ending July 3rd, 2009

As the above table shows the most profitable sector to have invested in since the beginning of 2009 would have been in a basket of 24 month or longer duration warrants of commodity related companies. They are up 71.5% YTD. 

There are 47 such warrants associated with 38 different companies in that category:

  • 8 are associated with 6 large-cap companies: 2 gold mining companies, Agnico-Eagle (AEM) and Kinross (KGC and K); 2 royalty companies, Franco-Nevada (FNV) and Silver Wheaton (SLW); 1 oil and gas company, Pacific Rubiales (PRE); and 1 molybdenum miner, Thompson Creek (TCM).
     
  • 6 are associated with 5 small/mid-cap companies consisting of Western Canadian Coal (WTN); Mega Uranium (MGA); Bankers Petroleum (BNK); New Gold (NGD) and Minefinders (MFL).
     
  • 33 warrants are associated with 28 different companies of which 22 are in mining; 3 in merchant banking and 2 in oil and gas.

Because of the dominance of the micro-cap segment the 38 stocks associated with these warrants were up 40.9% YTD which, while not as much as the exclusively micro-cap CDNX index (+44.4%), were up dramatically more than the HUI (+13.3%) and GDM (13.1%) indices which are over-weighted with large and mid-cap sized companies. As such, it is evident that being invested in the micro-cap segment of the total warrant universe was an even better place to be during the first six months of 2009.

As for gold and silver - no contest! While silver has increased a very respectable 18.5% YTD gold was - and continues to be - a laggard at 5.1% YTD. 

I can hardly wait for future fears of (hyper)inflation to fuel the fire under gold (and silver) causing it to increase dramatically. This will further increase the current disparity of 14:1 that the warrants discussed above already have over gold bullion. As we prepare our portfolios to reflect these coming events the expression these days should be "Got Warrants?" not the familiar gold-bug refrain "Got Gold?"

***CDNX is the symbol for the S&P/TSX Venture Composite Index consisting of 558 companies of which 44% are engaged in the mining, exploration and/or development of gold and/or silver and other mineral resources and 18% in oil or natural gas pursuits.

****HUI is the symbol of the AMEX Gold BUGS (Basket of Un-hedged Gold Stocks) Index and is a modified equal dollar-weighted index of 15 gold mining companies that do not hedge their gold beyond 1.5 years.

*****GDM is the symbol for the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index and is a modified market capitalization weighted index of 31 gold and silver mining companies.

******SPTGD is the symbol for the S&P/TSX Global Gold Index and is a modified market capitalization index of 19 precious metals mining companies.

Thanks Lorimer for your great insight and contribution.

                                                -------------

 

Our Learning Center - Don't Forget It

 

We have spent many hours in providing both the professionals as well as investors new to warrants with a Learning Center to further your education on warrants. We encourage you to visit often as this knowledge could lead you into some awesome gains in the coming months.
 

Learning Center

 

Insiders Buying One of My Favorite Silver Company's
 

My newest service, www.InsidersInsights.com continues to rack up some great gains by following the monies of corporate insiders. I issued a New Buy Alert last week on one my favorite silver company's. This addition is exciting for me as it is a company I have followed for along time and it is currently in my personal portfolio. For merely $24.95, this name alone is worth the price of subscribing.
 

Dudley's closing comments,

We are still experiencing some choppy markets, but we are confident that gold and silver and thus the shares and long-term warrants currently represent a good entry point. Of course, we could be wrong, but we feel the markets will be substantially higher in the coming weeks and months. Time to get on board !!

 

                                            -------------


Regards from the team,

Dudley Baker, Owner/Editor, Guadalajara/Ajijic, Mexico
Lorimer Wilson, Director of Marketing, Toronto, Canada
Bruce Ross, Webmaster & Administrative Services, Mesa, Arizona

 

www.PreciousMetalsWarrants.com

www.InsidersInsights.com
 


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Disclosure/Disclaimer Statement

PreciousMetalsWarrants.com is not an investment advisor and any reference to specific securities does not constitute a recommendation thereof. Neither the information, nor the opinions expressed should be construed as a solicitation to buy any securities mentioned in this Service.  Examples given are only intended to make investors aware of the potential rewards of investing in Warrants. Investors are recommended to obtain the advice of a qualified investment advisor before entering into any transactions involving stocks or Warrants.